The 2025 Canadian election won’t be for some time now, but one thing is clear: it will be unlike any other election in recent history. With the increasing popularity of Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives and the Liberals losing support from the Canadian public, it’s unlikely that Trudeau will be able to remain Prime Minister for much longer. Pierre Poilievre seems to be heading for a landslide that can only be compared to the dominating landslide victories achieved by John Diefenbaker in 1958 and Brian Mulrooney in 1984.

In 2021, the Conservative Party won a plurality of votes: 33% to the Liberals 32%. However, as a result of their more efficient vote distribution, Liberals won more seats, letting them form a minority government with the support of Jagmeet Singh’s NDP. 

The current federal seat projection indicates that the Conservatives are set to win the election with a huge majority. If an election were to be held today, they’re projected to win a total of 208 out of 338 seats in Parliament. This would be one of the biggest landslides in recent Canadian history. 

Another important thing to remember is that the Liberals won lots of key seats by only a few points in the last election. If they lose just a few points, the Conservatives have a chance to win key swing seats that would secure their victory for the next term.

As of right now, the Conservatives are leading in nine of ten provinces, with the only exception, of course, being Quebec. The last time a leader won all 10 provinces was in 1984, when Brian Mulroney’s Progressive Conservative Party won in every single province. If this were to happen, it would lay out a very different atmosphere for the 2029 election.

Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has also called for a vote of non-confidence in the government. Though this vote is unlikely to succeed unless the NDP decides to side with the Conservatives. Dissent has also arisen within Trudeau’s own caucus, as some anonymous Liberals have recently stated that they wished to get rid of Trudeau. This could potentially lead to members of Trudeau’s own party voting in Parliament to call an early election. 

 The next federal election will certainly be interesting. With voters tiring of nearly a decade of Trudeau and a scandalous government, the Conservatives are likely to win a huge majority government.